Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000137 0.000152 0.000167 0.000185 0.000206 0.000228 0.000254
2025-07-27 0.000109 0.000130 0.000154 0.000184 0.000221 0.000265 0.000322
2025-08-03 0.000093 0.000118 0.000148 0.000187 0.000239 0.000305 0.000395
2025-08-10 0.000081 0.000106 0.000139 0.000185 0.000247 0.000332 0.000454
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000097 0.000132 0.000183 0.000256 0.000358 0.000515
2025-08-24 0.000064 0.000089 0.000125 0.000180 0.000261 0.000379 0.000570
2025-08-31 0.000056 0.000082 0.000118 0.000174 0.000261 0.000393 0.000614
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000077 0.000114 0.000174 0.000270 0.000420 0.000683
2025-09-14 0.000049 0.000074 0.000113 0.000177 0.000282 0.000454 0.000766
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000070 0.000108 0.000173 0.000284 0.000472 0.000822
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000064 0.000102 0.000167 0.000281 0.000478 0.000859
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000062 0.000100 0.000168 0.000290 0.000508 0.000944
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000060 0.000099 0.000171 0.000304 0.000548 0.001055
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000057 0.000096 0.000170 0.000310 0.000575 0.001147
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000055 0.000095 0.000172 0.000323 0.000619 0.001278
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000052 0.000092 0.000170 0.000326 0.000642 0.001371
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000168 0.000331 0.000670 0.001476
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000165 0.000333 0.000689 0.001566
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000160 0.000329 0.000697 0.001630
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000160 0.000337 0.000732 0.001765
2025-12-07 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000162 0.000350 0.000780 0.001943
2025-12-14 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000159 0.000350 0.000799 0.002044
2025-12-21 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000154 0.000343 0.000799 0.002095